Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 10, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | KJZZ | AL2

The Denver Nuggets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Jazz Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 17-20 against the spread, while the Jazz are 22-16 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-6.5 -110O 237.5 -105-275
Utah Jazz +6.5 -110U 237.5 -115+220

Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Nuggets and Jazz, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Jazz vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


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  • Away – Positive ATS Trends
  • Home – Positive ATS Trends

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 17-20 (-5.1 Units / -12.13% ROI).

  • 26-12 against the Moneyline (+5.6 Units / 4.68% ROI)
  • 15-22 against the Over for game total points (-9.2 Units / -22.01% ROI)
  • 22-15 against the Under for game total points (+5.5 Units / 13.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 22-16 (+4.4 Units / 10.54% ROI).

  • 18-20 against the Moneyline (+6.15 Units / 14.06% ROI)
  • 20-17 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.11% ROI)
  • 17-20 against the Under for game total points (-4.95 Units / -11.86% ROI)
  • Home – Negative ATS Trends
  • Away – Negative ATS Trends

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when they win the turnover margin this season — best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 16.4 turnovers per game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 11-1 (.917) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Nuggets are 22-5 (.815) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed 118.7 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz are 10-16 (.385) when they lose the turnover margin this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game this season — T-lowest in the NBA.

The Jazz were 13-20 (.394) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Jazz were 4-11 (.267) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Jazz are 4-5 (.444) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Jazz vs. NuggetsWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 10

  • Lauri Markkanen (Utah Jazz): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Kelly Olynyk (Utah Jazz): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Jordan Clarkson (Utah Jazz): Thigh, Game Time Decision
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,689/5,246) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (587 assists/ 229 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (1,129 assists/ 465 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/38 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz are shooting 43% from three (66/155) in close and late situations this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Jazz have averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (622 turnovers/38 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Jazz have averaged 16.8 second chance points per game (637 points/38 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have blocked 208 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (450 steals/60 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,377 rebounds/38 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Jazz allowed 18.5 fast break points per game (757 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Jazz have averaged 6.4 steals per game (767 steals/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have averaged 6.5 steals per game (373 steals/57 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.