- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ESPN | ALT | NSCA
The Denver Nuggets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 35-43 against the spread, while the Kings are 35-41 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | O | ||
| Sacramento Kings | U |
Kings vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Kings.
Kings vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 77 games (+18.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 77 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 35-43 (-12.3 Units / -14.15% ROI).
- 47-32 against the Moneyline (-2.7 Units / -1.12% ROI)
- 47-32 against the Over for game total points (+11.8 Units / 13.58% ROI)
- 32-47 against the Under for game total points (-19.7 Units / -22.67% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 35-41 (-10.1 Units / -11.62% ROI).
- 39-40 against the Moneyline (-23.35 Units / -12.61% ROI)
- 41-37 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI)
- 37-41 against the Under for game total points (-8.15 Units / -9.37% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 74 games (-29.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-25.30 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-18.72 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 38 games at home (-17.68 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 85 games (-16.78 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 77 games (-30.20 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 91 games (-26.35 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 94 games (-23.85 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 93 games (-23.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-21.70 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Nuggets are 72-13 (.847) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 95-50 (.655) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
The Nuggets are 41-16 (.719) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582
The Nuggets are 58-18 (.763) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Kings are 3-10 (.231) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Kings are 1-17 (.056) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188
The Kings are undefeated (17-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .898
The Kings are 10-21 (.323) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (875 points/79 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,318 points/39 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have averaged 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,608 points/79 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Nuggets have averaged 31.0 assists per game (2,452 assists/79 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 116.0 points per game (9,165 points/79 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8
The Kings have made 12.6 three-pointers per game this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Kings have averaged 14.5 fast break points per game (1,142 points/79 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,914 rebounds/79 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,112/2,838) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (689 blocks/161 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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