- The Nuggets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
- Watch the game on ALT | KTVD | FDIN
The Denver Nuggets visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Nuggets vs Pacers Over/Under is 245.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 29-27 against the spread, while the Pacers are 26-27 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | -4.5 -115 | O 245.5 -105 | -190 |
| Indiana Pacers | +4.5 -105 | U 245.5 -115 | +154 |
Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 77.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Pacers.
Pacers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.8% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+21.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.47 Units / 30% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 29-27 (-0.7 Units / -1.12% ROI).
- 37-20 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 0.45% ROI)
- 35-22 against the Over for game total points (+10.8 Units / 17.22% ROI)
- 22-35 against the Under for game total points (-16.5 Units / -26.32% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 26-27 (-3.7 Units / -6.11% ROI).
- 32-23 against the Moneyline (+5.1 Units / 4.63% ROI)
- 30-22 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 9.59% ROI)
- 22-30 against the Under for game total points (-11 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 97 games (-25.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-22.90 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-21.75 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 47 games (-20.85 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-20.20 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 72 games (-28.70 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 91 games (-28.20 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 42 away games (-25.91 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-24.50 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 90 games (-24.20 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Indiana Pacers
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Nuggets are 27-5 (.844) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 28-8 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.2 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 20-4 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .613
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Pacers are winless (0-6) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .179
The Pacers are 4-14 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Pacers are 19-10 (.655) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530
The Pacers are undefeated (6-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .741
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (4,038 points/138 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (178 assists/ 69 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (606 points/56 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 62.4 points in the paint per game (1,746 points/28 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Pacers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (2,522 assists/ 1,059 TOs) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,026 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (569 blocks/96 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,881 rebounds/54 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Pacers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,644 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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