- The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Watch the game on GCSE | AL2
The Denver Nuggets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 10-14 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 10-19 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | -9.5 -110 | O 231.5 -105 | -450 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +9.5 -110 | U 231.5 -115 | +333 |
Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 86 games (+16.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+13.18 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games at home (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 10-14 (-5.4 Units / -19.64% ROI).
- 14-11 against the Moneyline (-7.05 Units / -12.19% ROI)
- 17-8 against the Over for game total points (+8.2 Units / 29.82% ROI)
- 8-17 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -38.91% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 10-19 (-10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI).
- 5-24 against the Moneyline (-20.3 Units / -60.69% ROI)
- 14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)
- 14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 44 games (-30.60 Units / -48% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-28.30 Units / -28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 75 games (-24.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-24.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.12 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 90 games (-35.80 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 90 games (-34.75 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 90 games (-21.00 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 90 games (-20.42 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 59 games (-20.35 Units / -30% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets were 28-11 (.718) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Nuggets were 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three this season — 5th-best in the NBA.
The Pelicans are 2-15 (.118) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 54.3 rebounds/game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.
The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Pelicans are 7-26 (.212) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-best in the NBA.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (100 assists/ 35 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 11.0 fast break points per game (274 points/25 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets have averaged 20.3 fast break points per game (508 points/25 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Nuggets have averaged 15.2 assists per game (380 assists/25 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,522 points/1,280 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Pelicans have averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,519 points/1,338 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have allowed 28.7 points in the paint per game (718 points/25 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 24.2
The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (115 blocks/25 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Nuggets have allowed 10.5 fast break points per game (262 points/25 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (939 rebounds/29 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Pelicans have averaged 8.6 steals per game (950 steals/111 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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