Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 15, 2024, 3:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Nuggets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 4-5 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 2-10 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-2.5 -115O 217.5 -110-150
New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 -105U 217.5 -110+125

Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Friday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 88 games (+13.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.39 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 88 games (+9.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 89 games (+19.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.76 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.13 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI).

  • 7-3 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • 8-2 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI)
  • 2-8 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 2-10 (-9 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • 3-9 against the Moneyline (-7.35 Units / -44.95% ROI)
  • 7-4 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI)
  • 4-7 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 89 games (-24.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 37 games at home (-21.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-20.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-20.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 75 games (-30.05 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 44 away games (-18.00 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 games (-14.55 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 78 games (-13.20 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-12.50 Units / -14% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Nuggets are 23-8 (.742) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nuggets are 76-18 (.809) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Nuggets are 13-4 (.765) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .607

The Nuggets are 57-9 (.864) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Pelicans were 42-29 (.592) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Pelicans were 33-10 (.767) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Pelicans are 7-19 (.269) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. NuggetsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 15

  • New Orleans Pelicans – No Injuries Reported
  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have 28.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (90 assists/ 36 TOs) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have a 31% free throw rate (283 free throw attempts/903 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Nuggets have a 38% free throw rate (106 free throw attempts/277 field goal attempts) on the road this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a TS% of 45% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pelicans have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,265 points/1,062 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Pelicans have averaged 105.4 points per game (1,265 points/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,312 rebounds/92 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have blocked 507 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (507 blocks/92 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (381 rebounds/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,126/3,364) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 43% from three (90/207) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.