- The Nuggets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Watch the game on AL2 | FDSW
The Denver Nuggets visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 14-18 against the spread, while the Spurs are 19-15 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | O | ||
| San Antonio Spurs | U |
Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 68.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Spurs.
Spurs vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 games (+27.87 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 57 games (+26.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 14-18 (-5.8 Units / -15.98% ROI).
- 19-14 against the Moneyline (-6.75 Units / -8.86% ROI)
- 22-11 against the Over for game total points (+9.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
- 11-22 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 19-15 (+2.5 Units / 6.68% ROI).
- 18-16 against the Moneyline (+6.25 Units / 13.17% ROI)
- 17-16 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.6% ROI)
- 16-17 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.52 Units / -27% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.03 Units / -25% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-19.87 Units / -23% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.80 Units / -18% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-14.50 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-37.65 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-35.40 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 48 games (-27.60 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 55 games (-24.85 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-21.77 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Nuggets are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Nuggets were 37-3 (.925) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
The Spurs are 4-68 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .303
The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Spurs are 18-49 (.269) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 13.1 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-lowest in the NBA.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (667 points/33 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (127 assists/ 46 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (512 assists/ 216 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 31.7 assists per game (1,047 assists/33 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.3
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (21,134 points/17,126 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (10,012 points/8,332 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
The Spurs averaged 14.5 assists per game (1,186 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 8.8 steals per game (289 steals/33 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,216 rebounds/33 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (310 blocks/58 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,162 rebounds/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (230 blocks/34 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (750 blocks/116 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs averaged 7.1 steals per game (584 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (353 blocks/56 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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