- The Nuggets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Suns
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN+ | DIS+
The Denver Nuggets visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Nuggets vs Suns Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 11-15 against the spread, while the Suns are 8-19 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | -2.5 -115 | O 232.5 -115 | -145 |
| Phoenix Suns | +2.5 -105 | U 232.5 -105 | +120 |
Suns vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 68.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Suns.
Suns vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.23 Units / 23% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-15 (-5.5 Units / -18.52% ROI).
- 16-11 against the Moneyline (-5.05 Units / -8% ROI)
- 18-9 against the Over for game total points (+8.1 Units / 27.27% ROI)
- 9-18 against the Under for game total points (-10.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 8-19 (-12.9 Units / -41.88% ROI).
- 14-14 against the Moneyline (-5.4 Units / -9.34% ROI)
- 16-12 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 12-16 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 62 games (-33.12 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.16 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-23.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-22.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 31 games (-21.16 Units / -52% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 71 games (-32.95 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 90 games (-31.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 37 away games (-21.26 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 42 games (-21.20 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games (-20.50 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Nuggets are 18-7 (.720) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579
The Nuggets are 31-14 (.689) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 14.7 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-highest in the NBA.
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Suns are 17-9 (.654) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Suns are 19-14 (.576) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .463
The Suns are 25-9 (.735) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Suns are 30-13 (.698) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .588
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 15.4 assists per game (417 assists/27 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (289 points/27 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (114 assists/ 39 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 20.3 fast break points per game (549 points/27 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (630 points/110 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns have averaged 21.2 points in the paint per game (2,336 points/110 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.4
The Suns have averaged 40.9 points in the paint per game (1,144 points/28 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.2
The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,003 rebounds/27 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Nuggets have averaged 8.9 steals per game (241 steals/27 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 7.6 steals per game (214 steals/28 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Suns blocked 491 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams
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