- The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Suns
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
- Watch the game on KTVK | AZFS | ALT
The Denver Nuggets visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Suns Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 26-25 against the spread, while the Suns are 17-32 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | -4.5 -110 | O 237.5 -110 | -185 |
| Phoenix Suns | +4.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 | +150 |
Suns vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 77.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Suns.
Suns vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 57.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+9.83 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 26-25 (-1.5 Units / -2.62% ROI).
- 33-19 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -0.69% ROI)
- 32-20 against the Over for game total points (+10 Units / 17.48% ROI)
- 20-32 against the Under for game total points (-15.2 Units / -26.57% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 17-32 (-18.2 Units / -32.44% ROI).
- 26-25 against the Moneyline (-8.65 Units / -7.44% ROI)
- 26-25 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -2.67% ROI)
- 25-26 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -6.42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-33.97 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 82 games (-27.10 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 54 games (-22.26 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 66 games (-19.85 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-19.85 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 67 games (-30.90 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-30.05 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 47 away games (-27.46 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-25.15 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 47 away games (-22.15 Units / -40% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Nuggets were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Nuggets were 12-3 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Nuggets are 15-11 (.577) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Nuggets are 29-18 (.617) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Suns were 13-4 (.765) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Suns were 14-8 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Suns are 19-9 (.679) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Suns were 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (176 assists/ 65 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,366/4,666) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,052 points/52 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (554 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Suns have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (739 points/133 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns have averaged 1.34 points per shot (15,317 points/11,420 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,867 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have 434 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,921 rebounds/52 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns have averaged 7.5 steals per game (383 steals/51 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,823 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Suns have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,672 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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