- The Thunder are -8.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | ALT | KTVD | FDOK
The Denver Nuggets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).
The Nuggets vs Thunder Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 31-32 against the spread, while the Thunder are 38-23 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | +8.5 -105 | O 238.5 -115 | +290 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -8.5 -115 | U 238.5 -105 | -375 |
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 78.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.9% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+8.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 92 games (+20.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+18.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 38 games (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 31-32 (-4.2 Units / -5.97% ROI).
- 41-23 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units / 0.75% ROI)
- 37-27 against the Over for game total points (+7.3 Units / 10.37% ROI)
- 27-37 against the Under for game total points (-13.7 Units / -19.46% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 38-23 (+12.7 Units / 17.76% ROI).
- 53-12 against the Moneyline (+13.9 Units / 3.81% ROI)
- 36-28 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 7.27% ROI)
- 28-36 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -16.22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 46 games (-20.00 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.82 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-17.25 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.55 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 37 games (-16.50 Units / -41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 games (-27.25 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 94 games (-26.65 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 47 away games (-25.11 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-23.70 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-21.85 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Nuggets are 26-5 (.839) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Nuggets are 37-20 (.649) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
The Nuggets were 26-9 (.743) when they win the turnover margin last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Nuggets were 42-12 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Thunder are 18-4 (.818) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
The Thunder are 39-5 (.886) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537
The Thunder are 96-31 (.756) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
The Thunder are 39-7 (.848) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 116.5 points per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 61.9 points in the paint per game (1,980 points/32 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (680 points/63 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (427/1,041) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets have averaged 59.2 points in the paint per game (3,728 points/63 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (749 turnovers/63 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,690 assists/ 749 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,099 steals/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,280 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 10.8 steals per game (679 steals/63 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,373 steals/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (674 steals/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
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