- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Denver Nuggets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 46-47 against the spread, while the Thunder are 56-33 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | O | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 93 games (+15.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 93 games (+13.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+12.35 Units / 44% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 94 games (+20.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 78 games (+19.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+14.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 46-47 (-5.7 Units / -5.45% ROI).
- 57-38 against the Moneyline (+6.95 Units / 2.66% ROI)
- 55-40 against the Over for game total points (+11 Units / 10.53% ROI)
- 40-55 against the Under for game total points (-20.5 Units / -19.62% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 56-33 (+19.7 Units / 19.26% ROI).
- 75-18 against the Moneyline (+17.2 Units / 3.36% ROI)
- 50-42 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 3.71% ROI)
- 42-50 against the Under for game total points (-13 Units / -12.71% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.35 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (-20.65 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 84 games (-19.31 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.63 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 93 games (-28.95 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 95 games (-26.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 90 games (-23.22 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-22.50 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-22.23 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Nuggets are 60-18 (.769) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Nuggets are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .103
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 47-7 (.870) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Thunder are 53-9 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,653 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (859 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
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