- The Warriors are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | ALT | NSBA
The Denver Nuggets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Warriors Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 35-41 against the spread, while the Warriors are 39-35 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | -1.5 -110 | O 236.5 -110 | -120 |
| Golden State Warriors | +1.5 -110 | U 236.5 -110 | +100 |
Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Warriors.
Warriors vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+19.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 35-41 (-10.1 Units / -11.92% ROI).
- 47-30 against the Moneyline (+0.55 Units / 0.23% ROI)
- 46-31 against the Over for game total points (+11.9 Units / 14.05% ROI)
- 31-46 against the Under for game total points (-19.6 Units / -23.14% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 39-35 (+0.4 Units / 0.48% ROI).
- 45-31 against the Moneyline (-8.5 Units / -4.12% ROI)
- 39-37 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)
- 37-39 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 66 games (-38.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 77 games (-21.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.42 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 60 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 59 games (-19.00 Units / -28% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 75 games (-30.10 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 89 games (-26.15 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 92 games (-25.85 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.60 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 91 games (-21.45 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Nuggets are 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .614
The Nuggets are 29-8 (.784) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Nuggets are 22-7 (.759) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Nuggets are 16-2 (.889) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Warriors are undefeated (10-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749
The Warriors are 21-5 (.808) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818
The Warriors are 4-23 (.148) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .163
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 59.6 points in the paint per game (2,266 points/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
The Nuggets have averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (862 points/77 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,502/6,927) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,552 points/77 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Warriors are shooting 43% (409/952) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors have averaged 3.6 second chance points per game (207 points/57 games) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7
The Warriors have averaged 15.5 second chance points per game (1,179 points/76 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,841 rebounds/77 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (835 blocks/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (361 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,708 rebounds/158 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have 697 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams
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