- The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | ALT | NSBA
The Denver Nuggets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, USA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Warriors Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 32-35 against the spread, while the Warriors are 35-31 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | +4.5 -110 | O 238.5 -110 | +145 |
| Golden State Warriors | -4.5 -110 | U 238.5 -110 | -175 |
Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Warriors.
Warriors vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 65.1% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 66 games (+18.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-35 (-6.5 Units / -8.69% ROI).
- 43-25 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -1.15% ROI)
- 40-28 against the Over for game total points (+9.2 Units / 12.3% ROI)
- 28-40 against the Under for game total points (-16 Units / -21.39% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-31 (+0.8 Units / 1.08% ROI).
- 39-28 against the Moneyline (-5.4 Units / -3.27% ROI)
- 34-33 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.12% ROI)
- 33-34 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.97% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 57 games (-30.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.57 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 68 games (-19.80 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.10 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 51 games (-17.65 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-29.30 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 66 games (-28.30 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 90 games (-26.45 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 90 games (-24.25 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 away games (-20.06 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Nuggets are 41-21 (.661) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .450
The Nuggets are 71-17 (.807) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571
The Nuggets are 21-4 (.840) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .607
The Nuggets were 26-9 (.743) when they win the turnover margin last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Warriors are 43-19 (.694) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Warriors are 19-4 (.826) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536
The Warriors are undefeated (9-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .751
The Warriors were 23-2 (.920) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (732 points/68 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (2,090 points/68 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Nuggets have averaged 58.7 points in the paint per game (3,990 points/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9
The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (459/1,136) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1
The Warriors averaged 6.2 fast break points per game (506 points/82 games) in the first half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors are shooting 43% (1,341/3,129) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have blocked 781 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,453 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,408 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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