Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 7

  • The Nuggets are -14.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on AL2 | MNMT

The Denver Nuggets visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington, DC.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Wizards Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 7-12 against the spread, while the Wizards are 5-14 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Washington Wizards U

Wizards vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Wizards.

Wizards vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 91 games (+9.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.11 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 75 games (+16.73 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+14.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 61 games (+11.28 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 7-12 (-6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI).

  • 11-9 against the Moneyline (+0.25 Units / 0.58% ROI)
  • 13-7 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI)
  • 7-13 against the Under for game total points (-7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 5-14 (-10.4 Units / -47.27% ROI).

  • 2-18 against the Moneyline (-13.7 Units / -68.5% ROI)
  • 10-10 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 10-10 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 82 games (-31.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 48 games (-25.80 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 49 games (-25.15 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 64 games (-24.44 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-24.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-34.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-28.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games (-20.95 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-19.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 92 games (-18.42 Units / -17% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583

The Nuggets are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .110

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets are 48-17 (.738) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have averaged 49.1 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-lowest in the NBA.

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Wizards are 4-51 (.073) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Wizards are 8-56 (.125) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (218 points/20 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have averaged 19.8 fast break points per game (395 points/20 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,357 points/1,785 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,182/8,281) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards are shooting 31% from three (224/716) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have averaged 8.8 fast break points per game (897 points/102 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Wizards are shooting 29% from three (105/360) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (723 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nuggets have averaged 7.4 steals per game (759 steals/102 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (95 blocks/20 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (877 points/51 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8


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