Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 25

  • The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU | NBAt | FDIN | FDWI

The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 37-43 against the spread, while the Bucks are 43-40 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+5.5 -115O 229.5 -105+180
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -105U 229.5 -115-220

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 76.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 59 games (+34.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 49 games (+26.09 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 49 games (+20.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.52 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 37-43 (-10.3 Units / -11.14% ROI).

  • 52-32 against the Moneyline (+18.4 Units / 7.95% ROI)
  • 43-37 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 2.49% ROI)
  • 37-43 against the Under for game total points (-10.3 Units / -11.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 43-40 (-1 Units / -1.07% ROI).

  • 49-36 against the Moneyline (-6.55 Units / -3.25% ROI)
  • 44-40 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 40-44 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -8.98% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 89 games (-30.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-19.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 34 games at home (-19.50 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 89 games (-17.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-16.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-26.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 games (-26.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 99 games (-22.84 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 91 games (-17.95 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers are 20-22 (.476) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Pacers are 84-56 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

The Pacers are 21-5 (.808) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Pacers are 31-8 (.795) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks are 26-10 (.722) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.5 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks are 24-8 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Bucks were 22-11 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Bucks are 17-3 (.850) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers had a TS% of 54% last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,146 rebounds/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Bucks have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (947 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks made 14.2 three-pointers per game last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pacers have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,639 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,107 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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