Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 30, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | BSIN | BSWI

The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 46-38 against the spread, while the Bucks are 37-48 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-4.5 -110O 216.5 -115-185
Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 -110U 216.5 -105+150

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Tuesday‘s game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 56.9% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 60 games (+19.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 away games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+11.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 46-38 (+4.2 Units / 4.39% ROI).

  • 50-37 against the Moneyline (+1.05 Units / 0.58% ROI)
  • 44-41 against the Over for game total points (-1.15 Units / -1.22% ROI)
  • 41-44 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -7.83% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 37-48 (-15.8 Units / -16.72% ROI).

  • 50-36 against the Moneyline (-44.4 Units / -15.13% ROI)
  • 44-42 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -2.33% ROI)
  • 42-44 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -6.77% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 54 games (-52.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 72 games (-29.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 33 games at home (-20.20 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 60 games (-27.45 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-26.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 87 games (-25.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.50 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers are 24-8 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pacers were 18-26 (.409) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers are 47-32 (.595) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks are 51-19 (.729) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Injury Report: Bucks vs. PacersTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 30

  • AJ Green (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylin Galloway (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out For Season
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Shoulder, Out For Season

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers have a TS% of 54% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers have averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks averaged 1.4 fast break points per game (88 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Bucks have made 14.2 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (492 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers blocked 478 shots last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,289 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.