- The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
- Watch the game on FDIN | FDWI
The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 6-8 against the spread, while the Bucks are 5-9 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | +5.5 -115 | O 237.5 -110 | +170 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -5.5 -105 | U 237.5 -110 | -210 |
Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 75.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.
Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 37 games (+16.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+14.77 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+12.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+9.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI).
- 6-9 against the Moneyline (-7.1 Units / -28.57% ROI)
- 11-4 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 40% ROI)
- 4-11 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 5-9 (-4.9 Units / -29.7% ROI).
- 6-9 against the Moneyline (-10.95 Units / -31.24% ROI)
- 5-10 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
- 10-5 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 71 games (-62.65 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 89 games (-30.50 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 77 games (-26.00 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.30 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.20 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-27.65 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-22.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 90 games (-22.70 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 99 games (-22.40 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 39 away games (-20.35 Units / -28% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Pacers are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .112
The Pacers are 27-9 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .633
The Pacers are 11-7 (.611) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Pacers are 5-11 (.312) when turning the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Bucks were 26-12 (.684) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Bucks are 25-14 (.641) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567
The Bucks are 55-22 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Bucks are 33-12 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.2 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (2,874 points/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks are shooting 71% from the free throw line (241/339) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,626 points/4,103 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Bucks have averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (219 rebounds/15 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,280 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have allowed 29.9 points in the paint per game (2,896 points/97 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.2
The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,844 rebounds/179 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (555 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,590 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (84 blocks/15 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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