Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

  • The Cavaliers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDIN | FDOH

The Indiana Pacers visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH, OH, USA.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 18-19 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 26-11 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+8.5 -105O 239.5 -110+340
Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 -115U 239.5 -110-450

Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 73 games (+16.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 100 games (+16.09 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 41 games (+28.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 29 games at home (+21.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+18.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 18-19 (-2.9 Units / -6.74% ROI).

  • 21-18 against the Moneyline (-1.8 Units / -2.29% ROI)
  • 21-16 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 7.93% ROI)
  • 16-21 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -16.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 26-11 (+13.9 Units / 34.15% ROI).

  • 33-4 against the Moneyline (+24.95 Units / 14.57% ROI)
  • 25-12 against the Over for game total points (+11.8 Units / 28.99% ROI)
  • 12-25 against the Under for game total points (-15.5 Units / -38.08% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 87 games (-29.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.52 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 72 games (-24.38 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-30.55 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 94 games (-30.17 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 94 games (-20.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 67 games (-19.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 94 games (-18.35 Units / -17% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pacers are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109

The Pacers were 24-8 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Pacers were 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Pacers are 32-10 (.762) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers are 10-1 (.909) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Cavaliers are 15-1 (.938) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.6 rebounds/game this season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are 49-11 (.817) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.4 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-lowest in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are 49-11 (.817) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (187 points/39 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 60% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 56% at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers are shooting 41% from three (604/1,493) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 56% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,372 rebounds/39 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (442 blocks/96 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (171 blocks/37 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,558 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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