Pacers vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

  • The Celtics are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | FDIN | NBSB

The Indiana Pacers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Celtics Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 12-17 against the spread, while the Celtics are 11-19 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Boston Celtics U

Celtics vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Celtics.

Celtics vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 99 games (+19.39 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 65 games (+10.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 59 of their last 79 games (+20.27 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 98 games (+18.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 61 of their last 93 games (+11.27 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 12-17 (-6.7 Units / -19.65% ROI).

  • 15-16 against the Moneyline (-9.25 Units / -15.1% ROI)
  • 17-12 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 11.14% ROI)
  • 12-17 against the Under for game total points (-6.7 Units / -19.65% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 11-19 (-9.9 Units / -30% ROI).

  • 22-8 against the Moneyline (-18.35 Units / -9.82% ROI)
  • 13-17 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)
  • 17-13 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 66 games (-41.32 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 60 games (-32.95 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-32.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 66 games (-27.10 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 59 games (-17.78 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 99 games (-33.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 98 games (-29.67 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-21.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-19.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 59 games (-18.60 Units / -29% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Pacers are 8-3 (.727) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

The Pacers are 6-12 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have averaged 54.0 rebounds/game this season — 7th-highest in the NBA.

The Pacers are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109

The Pacers are 3-11 (.214) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Celtics are 46-10 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics were 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Celtics are 43-3 (.935) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .691

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 9.6 second chance points per game (287 points/30 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Pacers averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,251 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Pacers averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,044 rebounds/30 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,222 rebounds/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,091 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,113 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.