Pacers vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 252.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | WPCH

The Indiana Pacers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Hawks Over/Under is 251.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 21-16 against the spread, while the Hawks are 9-27 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+5.5 -110O 251.5 -110+180
Atlanta Hawks -5.5 -110U 251.5 -110-225

Hawks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pacers and Hawks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hawks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.8% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 78 games (+21.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 61 games (+20.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 away games (+18.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+15.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+18.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+15.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+13.15 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 21-16 (+3.4 Units / 8.13% ROI).

  • 22-16 against the Moneyline (+1.45 Units / 2.19% ROI)
  • 24-12 against the Over for game total points (+10.75 Units / 25.66% ROI)
  • 12-24 against the Under for game total points (-14.35 Units / -34.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 9-27 (-20.6 Units / -52.15% ROI).

  • 15-21 against the Moneyline (-9.6 Units / -16.96% ROI)
  • 22-13 against the Over for game total points (+7.7 Units / 19.44% ROI)
  • 13-22 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -28.28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 72 games (-28.70 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-26.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-24.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 79 games (-20.65 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 61 games (-29.40 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 78 games (-28.80 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 65 games (-21.95 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 27 games (-19.40 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-18.80 Units / -29% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pacers are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .672

The Pacers are 1-6 (.143) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pacers are 17-6 (.739) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Hawks were 18-27 (.400) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks are 19-1 (.950) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .795

Injury Report: Hawks vs. PacersFriday‘s Game, Jan. 12

  • Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks): Wrist, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Kobe Bufkin (Atlanta Hawks): Thumb, Out
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Heel, Out

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 64.5 points per game (2,388 points/37 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.5

The Pacers have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pacers have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (2,132 points/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers averaged 18.1 fast break points per game (1,481 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks averaged 1.28 points per shot (9,711 points/7,574 shots) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hawks have averaged 122.7 points per game (4,416 points/36 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.7

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (289 steals/37 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,951 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 60.6 points in the paint per game (2,242 points/37 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.4

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 8.0 steals per game (289 steals/36 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,210 rebounds/36 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have 289 steals this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (167 blocks/36 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.