- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Indiana Pacers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pacers vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 33-40 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 35-42 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 76.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 52 games (+29.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+21.09 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+12.07 Units / 17% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 76 games (+20.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 10% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 33-40 (-11 Units / -12.97% ROI).
- 46-31 against the Moneyline (+13 Units / 6.57% ROI)
- 39-34 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 1.89% ROI)
- 34-39 against the Under for game total points (-8.9 Units / -10.51% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 35-42 (-11.2 Units / -13.05% ROI).
- 47-31 against the Moneyline (-0.45 Units / -0.19% ROI)
- 46-32 against the Over for game total points (+10.8 Units / 12.59% ROI)
- 32-46 against the Under for game total points (-18.6 Units / -21.68% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 76 games (-31.20 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 90 games (-27.35 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 93 games (-24.85 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 92 games (-22.65 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-20.60 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 69 games (-24.70 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 96 games (-22.35 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (-20.10 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 98 games (-19.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 46 away games (-19.36 Units / -33% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Pacers are 18-5 (.783) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have forced 12.7 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.
The Pacers are 37-15 (.712) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580
The Pacers are 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .181
The Pacers are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Nuggets are 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .613
The Nuggets are 78-25 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.2 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-lowest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 35-14 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Nuggets were 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers had a TS% of 54% last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (869 points/78 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (287 assists/ 112 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 5.5 assists per game (287 assists/52 games) in close and late situations this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 points in the paint per game (4,672 points/160 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Pacers allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4
The Pacers have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (408 blocks/77 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pacers have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,686 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,819 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (839 blocks/160 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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