Pacers vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -12.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | SNET

The Indiana Pacers visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Raptors Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 42-35 against the spread, while the Raptors are 33-44 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-12.5 -115O 240.5 -115-900
Toronto Raptors +12.5 -105U 240.5 -105+575

Raptors vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Tuesday‘s game with 81.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Raptors.

Raptors vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 53 games (+18.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 28 away games (+15.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 41 away games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 42-35 (+3.5 Units / 3.98% ROI).

  • 45-35 against the Moneyline (-1.75 Units / -1.13% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Over for game total points (-6.05 Units / -6.96% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 33-44 (-15.4 Units / -17.95% ROI).

  • 25-53 against the Moneyline (-27.05 Units / -24.74% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -6.88% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 79 games (-29.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 73 games (-21.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-21.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-17.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 53 games (-25.85 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 33 away games (-18.45 Units / -51% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pacers are 27-7 (.794) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers were 13-26 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Pacers are 28-13 (.683) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Pacers are 18-14 (.562) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 19-49 (.279) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Raptors are 11-13 (.458) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Raptors are 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

Injury Report: Raptors vs. PacersTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (4,544 points/79 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 28.8 points in the paint per game (2,272 points/79 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have averaged 17.2 fast break points per game (2,777 points/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (2,944 points/160 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.8 fast break points per game (1,564 points/160 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Raptors have averaged 20.8 fast break points per game (833 points/40 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have allowed 30.2 points in the paint per game (2,386 points/79 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have 605 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,261 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.