Pacers vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Rockets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | FDIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 6-7 against the spread, while the Rockets are 10-5 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Rockets.

Rockets vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+15.92 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+17.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 86 games (+16.03 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.34 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 6-7 (-1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI).

  • 6-8 against the Moneyline (-6.1 Units / -25.58% ROI)
  • 10-4 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI)
  • 4-10 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -45.45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 10-5 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 9.52% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 37 games at home (-15.45 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-15.02 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 86 games (-14.95 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-13.15 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 83 games (-12.85 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-28.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-23.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-21.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 38 away games (-19.35 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pacers were 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Pacers were 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Pacers are 16-6 (.727) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pacers were 29-14 (.674) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Rockets are 2-21 (.087) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when allowing 110 or more points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351

The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Rockets are 4-51 (.073) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (335 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets have averaged 1.05 points per shot (194 points/184 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Rockets have averaged 18.2 second chance points per game (273 points/15 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Rockets have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,704 points/1,433 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (531 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,024 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Rockets have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (570 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Rockets have averaged 7.9 steals per game (766 steals/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.