- The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
- Watch the game on BSIN | NSBA
The Indiana Pacers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Pacers vs Warriors Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 37-31 against the spread, while the Warriors are 37-30 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Indiana Pacers | +4.5 -105 | O 239.5 -105 | +165 |
Golden State Warriors | -4.5 -115 | U 239.5 -115 | -200 |
Warriors vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Warriors.
Warriors vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 44 games (+20.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 23 away games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 away games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 55 games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 37-31 (+2.9 Units / 3.71% ROI).
- 39-32 against the Moneyline (-4.3 Units / -3.18% ROI)
- 33-36 against the Over for game total points (-6.65 Units / -8.63% ROI)
- 36-33 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 37-30 (+4 Units / 5.35% ROI).
- 36-32 against the Moneyline (-11.8 Units / -8.3% ROI)
- 35-33 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)
- 33-35 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.75 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 47 games at home (-19.25 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games at home (-17.75 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games at home (-15.35 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 44 games (-26.40 Units / -53% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 60 games (-25.40 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.95 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-18.90 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Pacers are 2-8 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Pacers are 20-7 (.741) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Pacers were 13-26 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Warriors are 18-2 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788
The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Warriors are 7-15 (.318) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Warriors are 18-2 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Pacers – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 22
- Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
- Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
- Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,631 points/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Pacers have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (1,976 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.0
The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Pacers have averaged 57.6 points in the paint per game (4,034 points/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Warriors averaged 29.2 assists per game (1,196 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,351 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (452 blocks/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pacers blocked 478 shots last season — 2nd most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,479 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (295 blocks/68 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Warriors have averaged 6.8 steals per game (462 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
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