Pelicans vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

Pelicans logo on the left and Celtics logo on the right
  • The Celtics are -14.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | NBSB

The New Orleans Pelicans visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Boston, MA, MA, USA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Celtics Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 15-24 against the spread, while the Celtics are 15-22 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+14.5 -110O 228.5 -115+675
Boston Celtics -14.5 -110U 228.5 -105-1100

Celtics vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Celtics.

Celtics vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 61.3% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+9.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+8.18 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 65 of their last 87 games (+22.77 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 100 games (+18.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 60 of their last 87 games (+11.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 15-24 (-11.4 Units / -26.57% ROI).

  • 8-31 against the Moneyline (-23.4 Units / -49.95% ROI)
  • 21-17 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 5.36% ROI)
  • 17-21 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -14.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 15-22 (-9.2 Units / -22.01% ROI).

  • 27-11 against the Moneyline (-25.95 Units / -11.39% ROI)
  • 16-22 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -19.62% ROI)
  • 22-16 against the Under for game total points (+4.4 Units / 10.53% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-43.29 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (-41.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-33.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 74 games (-27.70 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-20.58 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 54 games (-33.70 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 85 games (-27.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-22.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-22.77 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.75 Units / -21% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Pelicans are 1-5 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 1-16 (.059) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Pelicans are 3-21 (.125) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have averaged 53.4 rebounds/game this season — 9th-highest in the NBA.

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Celtics were 36-9 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Celtics were 34-8 (.810) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Celtics are 34-12 (.739) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Celtics are 24-6 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,860 points/1,599 shots) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans are shooting 44% (1,551/3,513) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 48% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 18.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have made 2,036 three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NBA teams

The Celtics have made 17.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 9.3 steals per game (568 steals/61 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,182 rebounds/121 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (6,608 points/5,611 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,389 rebounds/38 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5


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