Pelicans vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -8.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 30-22 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 24-29 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-9.5 -110O 222.5 -115-450
Memphis Grizzlies +9.5 -110U 222.5 -105+340

Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 82.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 56.1% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 73 games (+31.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 73 games (+19.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 29 games at home (+16.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+13.90 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 30-22 (+5.85 Units / 10.05% ROI).

  • 31-22 against the Moneyline (+4.85 Units / 4.8% ROI)
  • 25-28 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)
  • 28-25 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 24-29 (-7.9 Units / -13.54% ROI).

  • 18-35 against the Moneyline (-3.25 Units / -5.13% ROI)
  • 23-30 against the Over for game total points (-10 Units / -17.15% ROI)
  • 30-23 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 8.06% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-27.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-25.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-24.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 82 games (-22.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-13.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-12.15 Units / -14% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pelicans are 16-7 (.696) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Pelicans are 14-11 (.560) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Pelicans are 14-7 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .222

The Grizzlies are 5-10 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Grizzlies were 26-4 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. PelicansMonday‘s Game, Feb. 12

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • John Konchar (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Ziaire Williams (Memphis Grizzlies): Hand, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Rose (Memphis Grizzlies): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Malcolm Hill (New Orleans Pelicans): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (354/883) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (6,176 points/4,662 shots) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Pelicans are shooting 49% (2,278/4,662) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (909/2,122) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 51% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies have averaged 1.21 points per shot (5,675 points/4,686 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (830/2,548) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.2 steals per game (436 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have 436 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (323 blocks/53 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.