Pelicans vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 09, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -1.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | SPEC | WVUE

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Pelicans vs Lakers Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 29-21 against the spread, while the Lakers are 24-30 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-2.5 -115O 233.5 -110-150
Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 -105U 233.5 -110+125

Lakers vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Lakers.

Lakers vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 71 games (+31.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 71 games (+19.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 games (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+13.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+16.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 97 games (+13.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 97 games (+11.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 29-21 (+5.95 Units / 10.63% ROI).

  • 30-21 against the Moneyline (+5.2 Units / 5.41% ROI)
  • 24-27 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 27-24 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 24-30 (-9.1 Units / -15.28% ROI).

  • 28-26 against the Moneyline (+3.75 Units / 3.7% ROI)
  • 29-25 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI)
  • 25-29 against the Under for game total points (-6.95 Units / -11.69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-23.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 91 games (-23.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 96 games (-19.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 87 games (-18.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-21.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 67 games (-13.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 78 games (-12.90 Units / -15% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Pelicans are 18-5 (.783) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 10-22 (.312) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Pelicans are 16-6 (.727) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Pelicans are 20-8 (.714) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .581

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Lakers are 8-3 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Lakers are 12-20 (.375) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Lakers are 19-10 (.655) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

Injury Report: Lakers vs. PelicansFriday‘s Game, Feb. 9

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Malcolm Hill (New Orleans Pelicans): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Pelicans have averaged 1.33 points per shot (5,961 points/4,497 shots) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (343/856) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (233 points/53 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (533 points/53 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (817/2,518) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (330/1,027) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (422 steals/51 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (421 steals/53 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Lakers have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,959 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (297 blocks/53 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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