Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 15

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Dallas Mavericks logo on the left and New Orleans Pelicans logo on the right
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Pelicans vs Mavericks Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 23-16 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 22-18 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+ +O Not Found ++
Dallas Mavericks + +U Not Found ++

Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pelicans and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.1% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 60 games (+29.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 60 games (+21.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 77 games (+20.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 54 games (+19.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+12.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 23-16 (+5.45 Units / 12.4% ROI).

  • 24-16 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 6.5% ROI)
  • 19-21 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • 21-19 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 22-18 (+2.25 Units / 5.12% ROI).

  • 23-17 against the Moneyline (-1.35 Units / -1.75% ROI)
  • 22-17 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 7.48% ROI)
  • 17-22 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -16.17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (-34.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-23.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 78 games (-20.70 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-19.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (-18.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-28.55 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-18.05 Units / -21% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pelicans are 17-6 (.739) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 50.4 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pelicans were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pelicans are 9-3 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .737

The Mavericks were 7-8 (.467) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Mavericks are 18-24 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Mavericks were 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. PelicansMonday‘s Game, Jan. 15

  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,076 assists/ 536 TOs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (479/1,251) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (267/659) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,196 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (726 turnovers/122 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (230 turnovers/40 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (741/2,291) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have 331 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,368 rebounds/40 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,142 rebounds/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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