- The Nuggets are -10.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
- Watch the game on ALT | GCSE
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Pelicans vs Nuggets Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 20-29 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 24-25 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +10.5 -110 | O 239.5 -110 | +375 |
| Denver Nuggets | -10.5 -110 | U 239.5 -110 | -500 |
Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 63.9% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 44 games at home (+18.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+16.47 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 20-29 (-11.85 Units / -21.57% ROI).
- 12-38 against the Moneyline (-26.85 Units / -39.57% ROI)
- 28-21 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 8.91% ROI)
- 21-28 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -17.82% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 24-25 (-3.5 Units / -6.36% ROI).
- 31-19 against the Moneyline (-2.95 Units / -2.26% ROI)
- 31-19 against the Over for game total points (+10.1 Units / 18.36% ROI)
- 19-31 against the Under for game total points (-15.1 Units / -27.45% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 84 games (-31.05 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (-29.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-24.95 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 85 games (-23.00 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-18.88 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 65 games (-37.15 Units / -38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.50 Units / -23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.37 Units / -22% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 70 games (-19.15 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 58 games (-17.94 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Pelicans are 2-16 (.111) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402
The Pelicans are 2-6 (.250) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three this season — T-4th-best in the NBA.
The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Nuggets are 22-8 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 51.3 rebounds/game this season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 17-4 (.810) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets were 10-7 (.588) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Nuggets are 41-17 (.707) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (92/226) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Pelicans had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Pelicans have averaged 1.22 points per shot (5,493 points/4,514 shots) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (176 assists/ 65 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (529 points/50 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets have made 10.7 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9
The Nuggets are shooting 50% (5,875/11,762) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,642 rebounds/50 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pelicans have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,566 rebounds/132 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,840 rebounds/50 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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