Pelicans vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -8.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | SNET

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Raptors Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 33-27 against the spread, while the Raptors are 28-32 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-9.5 -110O 228.5 -110-500
Toronto Raptors +9.5 -110U 228.5 -110+375

Raptors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Tuesday‘s game with 81.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Raptors.

Raptors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 75 games (+34.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+17.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 75 games (+17.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 33-27 (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI).

  • 36-25 against the Moneyline (+5.55 Units / 4.38% ROI)
  • 27-34 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -15.5% ROI)
  • 34-27 against the Under for game total points (+4.3 Units / 6.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 28-32 (-7.2 Units / -10.72% ROI).

  • 23-38 against the Moneyline (-20.1 Units / -21.98% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.34% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Under for game total points (-5.05 Units / -7.53% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-25.00 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 37 games at home (-18.70 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 66 games (-18.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 80 games (-12.55 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 17 games (-12.15 Units / -66% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 25 games (-9.65 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pelicans are 20-5 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Pelicans were 10-22 (.312) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pelicans are 22-8 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 10-27 (.270) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Raptors were 18-19 (.486) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Raptors were 23-16 (.590) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Raptors vs. PelicansTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 5

  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out
  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (655/1,731) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have 24.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (113 assists/ 81 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.4 fast break points per game (1,143 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Raptors have averaged 19.3 fast break points per game (1,292 points/67 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (352/1,087) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have 448 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 8.7 steals per game (583 steals/67 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.