Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -2.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Rockets Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 26-20 against the spread, while the Rockets are 24-20 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-1.5 -105O 230.5 -110-115
Houston Rockets +1.5 -115U 230.5 -110-105

Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pelicans and Rockets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Rockets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 67 games (+30.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 67 games (+17.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 61 games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+14.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+14.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+13.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 26-20 (+4.05 Units / 7.85% ROI).

  • 26-21 against the Moneyline (+0.45 Units / 0.53% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.58% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 24-20 (+2 Units / 3.95% ROI).

  • 22-24 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.52% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-19.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-16.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games (-13.50 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 77 games (-11.85 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-24.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.15 Units / -24% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pelicans were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Pelicans are 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets are winless (0-12) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .364

The Rockets were 16-35 (.314) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Rockets vs. PelicansWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 31

  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
  • Malcolm Hill (New Orleans Pelicans): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Pelicans had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (95 assists/ 76 TOs) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (318/785) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (793/2,447) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,685 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (559 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,696 rebounds/46 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.