Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Houston, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 25-37 against the spread, while the Rockets are 34-29 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Saturday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Rockets.

Rockets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+12.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 83 games (+11.58 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.27 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-37 (-15.65 Units / -22.6% ROI).

  • 17-46 against the Moneyline (-26.8 Units / -32.13% ROI)
  • 36-26 against the Over for game total points (+7.4 Units / 10.68% ROI)
  • 26-36 against the Under for game total points (-13.6 Units / -19.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI).

  • 38-25 against the Moneyline (-12.1 Units / -8.39% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.47% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -4.34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games at home (-19.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 72 games (-19.25 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 78 games (-37.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 89 games (-25.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.77 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 80 games (-23.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-22.95 Units / -25% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pelicans are 2-7 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pelicans are 3-18 (.143) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The Pelicans are 18-32 (.360) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 6-18 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .258

The Rockets are 14-3 (.824) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 14.7 made three-pointers per game this season — T-worst in the NBA.

The Rockets are 27-9 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 118.8 points per game this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

The Rockets are 9-1 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 39% from three (117/297) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 52% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (1,023/2,673) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,426 rebounds/63 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1

The Rockets are shooting 40% (340/842) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,101 rebounds/63 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pelicans have averaged 9.3 steals per game (661 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans have blocked 343 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (596 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.