Pelicans vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 28

  • The Suns are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | AZFS | GCSE

The New Orleans Pelicans visit PHX Arena to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ, USA.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Suns Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 25-33 against the spread, while the Suns are 19-38 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+9.5 -115O 230.5 -110+310
Phoenix Suns -9.5 -105U 230.5 -110-400

Suns vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 77.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Suns.

Suns vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 66.7% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-33 (-11.25 Units / -17.35% ROI).

  • 16-43 against the Moneyline (-24.8 Units / -31.96% ROI)
  • 33-25 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 8.47% ROI)
  • 25-33 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -17.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 19-38 (-22.8 Units / -35.13% ROI).

  • 27-32 against the Moneyline (-17.2 Units / -13.46% ROI)
  • 30-29 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.93% ROI)
  • 29-30 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -6.16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 87 games (-30.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 76 games (-30.22 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (-28.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-21.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 64 games (-20.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 74 games (-35.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-23.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.22 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 67 games (-21.89 Units / -29% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pelicans are 2-6 (.250) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Pelicans are 3-22 (.120) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Suns have made 14.1 three-pointers per game this season — 7th-highest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 3-22 (.120) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

The Pelicans are 4-23 (.148) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Suns were 22-11 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Suns were 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Suns were 39-26 (.600) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Suns were 21-14 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (103/256) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans are shooting 45% (2,225/4,965) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pelicans have made 12.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (759 points/137 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns have averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,140 points/28 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Suns are shooting 40% from three (415/1,040) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Suns have averaged 41.7 points in the paint per game (2,296 points/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (638 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans have allowed 19.3 fast break points per game (1,060 points/55 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.5

The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 54% on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (304 blocks/55 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (773 blocks/137 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,964 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Suns have blocked 773 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams


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