Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOH | BSDT

The Detroit Pistons visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 21-24 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 24-18 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+12.5 -110O 230.5 -105+550
Cleveland Cavaliers -12.5 -110U 230.5 -115-800

Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Wednesday‘s game with 89.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pistons and Cavaliers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 69 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+19.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+19.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 78 games (+15.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 21-24 (-5.3 Units / -10.5% ROI).

  • 6-40 against the Moneyline (-28.8 Units / -59.69% ROI)
  • 26-19 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 10.08% ROI)
  • 19-26 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -18.97% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 24-18 (+4.35 Units / 9.02% ROI).

  • 28-16 against the Moneyline (+11.8 Units / 15.33% ROI)
  • 20-23 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -10.94% ROI)
  • 23-20 against the Under for game total points (+1.05 Units / 2.17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-28.95 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 41 games at home (-15.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 56 games (-14.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-13.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 75 games (-50.20 Units / -64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 75 games (-26.45 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 76 games (-22.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 63 games (-21.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 75 games (-19.95 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons are 8-75 (.096) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 12-48 (.200) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers are winless (0-4) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .175

The Cavaliers are 11-3 (.786) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Cavaliers were 19-8 (.704) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Cavaliers are undefeated (18-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. PistonsWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 31

  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Darius Garland (Cleveland Cavaliers): Jaw, Game Time Decision
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Malcolm Cazalon (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,426 assists/ 957 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,043 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have a 21% free throw rate (467 free throw attempts/2,169 field goal attempts) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Cavaliers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,045 assists/ 1,094 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.9 steals per game (272 steals/46 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 6.6 steals per game (846 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,595 rebounds/44 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers allowed an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.