Pistons vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

  • The Mavericks are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | WFAA

The Detroit Pistons visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Mavericks Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 37-40 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 48-32 against the spread.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pistons vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+13.5 -110O 218.5 -110+625
Dallas Mavericks -13.5 -110U 218.5 -110-1000

Mavericks vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 92.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.3% confidence.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 away games (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 51 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 31 games (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 37-40 (-7 Units / -7.95% ROI).

  • 13-67 against the Moneyline (-40.2 Units / -47.72% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.3% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -5.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 48-32 (+12.8 Units / 14.56% ROI).

  • 50-30 against the Moneyline (+9.75 Units / 5.65% ROI)
  • 37-43 against the Over for game total points (-10.3 Units / -11.7% ROI)
  • 43-37 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 2.61% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (-24.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 53 games (-23.35 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 57 games (-20.70 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 51 games (-20.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-19.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 77 games (-41.95 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 38 away games (-21.65 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 28 games (-19.10 Units / -64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.40 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 5-76 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .361

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pistons are 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Mavericks are 23-7 (.767) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 51.0 rebounds/game this season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 15.3 turnovers per game this season — T-2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Mavericks are undefeated (8-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .882

The Mavericks are 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. PistonsFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons averaged 110.3 points per game (9,045 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (237 assists/ 93 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have averaged 43.6 points in the paint per game (3,534 points/81 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 steals per game (513 steals/80 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have forced 11.7 turnovers per game (469 turnovers/40 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (682 blocks/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,552 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (559 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


Bet now on Mavericks vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.