- The Grizzlies are -11.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
- Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
- Watch the game on FDSM | SNET
The Toronto Raptors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Raptors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 19-9 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 20-10 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Toronto Raptors | +11.5 -110 | O 240.5 -110 | +450 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | -11.5 -110 | U 240.5 -110 | -650 |
Grizzlies vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.4% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 58 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+10.71 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.62 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.87 Units / 17% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 76 games (+24.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+17.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+14.29 Units / 33% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 19-9 (+9.1 Units / 27.58% ROI).
- 7-23 against the Moneyline (-10.8 Units / -35.29% ROI)
- 15-15 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 15-15 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 20-10 (+9 Units / 27.36% ROI).
- 20-10 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 4.2% ROI)
- 18-12 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
- 12-18 against the Under for game total points (-7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.72 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-18.77 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-16.82 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 70 games (-16.05 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 63 games (-14.70 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 82 games (-30.65 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.70 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 43 away games (-13.15 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 43 games (-12.52 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 80 games (-12.00 Units / -13% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Raptors are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387
The Raptors are 1-12 (.077) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
The Raptors are 10-47 (.175) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Grizzlies were winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Grizzlies are 1-20 (.048) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .246
The Grizzlies were 7-43 (.140) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,433 points/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Raptors have averaged 8.6 fast break points per game (1,617 points/189 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Raptors have averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (1,804 points/189 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 49% in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (529 blocks/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (174/542) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Raptors have averaged 7.7 steals per game (230 steals/30 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,148 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (356 blocks/54 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (182/594) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Grizzlies have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,145 rebounds/30 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
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