Raptors vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | TSN | WFAA

The Toronto Raptors visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Raptors vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 48-30 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 36-42 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games (+15.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games (+15.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+13.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 48-30 (+15.05 Units / 17.1% ROI).

  • 30-50 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -2.12% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 36-42 (-10.2 Units / -11.58% ROI).

  • 38-42 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI)
  • 43-36 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 3.86% ROI)
  • 36-43 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -12.84% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.38 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games at home (-19.92 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 66 games (-19.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 games at home (-18.75 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.58 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-17.36 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 63 games (-14.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 82 games (-14.35 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 41 games (-12.70 Units / -27% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Raptors are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors are 14-51 (.215) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have made 13.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors are 8-42 (.160) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .341

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Mavericks were 46-25 (.648) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Mavericks are 8-16 (.333) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 24-5 (.828) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 fast break points per game (1,441 points/162 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Raptors shot 33% from three (435/1,318) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have 23.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Mavericks averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Mavericks have made 12.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,787 rebounds/80 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,556 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (337 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (847 blocks/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Mavericks have averaged 7.8 steals per game (622 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (432 blocks/80 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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