Raptors vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 245.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSIN

The Toronto Raptors visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Raptors vs Pacers Over/Under is 245.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 27-29 against the spread, while the Pacers are 31-25 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+5.5 -105O 245.5 -115+190
Indiana Pacers -5.5 -115U 245.5 -105-250

Pacers vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Monday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Pacers.

Pacers vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+17.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+15.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games at home (+13.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 27-29 (-4.9 Units / -7.81% ROI).

  • 21-36 against the Moneyline (-20.95 Units / -24.45% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.12% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Under for game total points (-4.85 Units / -7.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 31-25 (+3.5 Units / 5.39% ROI).

  • 33-26 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -0.68% ROI)
  • 31-26 against the Over for game total points (+2.35 Units / 3.62% ROI)
  • 26-31 against the Under for game total points (-8.05 Units / -12.42% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-24.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 48 games (-23.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-20.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 32 games (-18.05 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 77 games (-26.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-20.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 away games (-19.50 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 62 games (-18.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.70 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 18-19 (.486) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Raptors are 1-2 (.333) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Raptors were 3-6 (.333) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pacers are 22-6 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers were 16-20 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Pacers are 17-7 (.708) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed 13.3 made three-pointers per game this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 20-6 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

Injury Report: Pacers vs. RaptorsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 26

  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers are shooting 51% (2,575/5,066) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pacers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,451 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 59.3 points in the paint per game (3,262 points/55 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.