Raptors vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN

The Toronto Raptors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Raptors vs Rockets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 22-24 against the spread, while the Rockets are 24-21 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+4.5 -115O 232.5 -110+150
Houston Rockets -4.5 -105U 232.5 -110-185

Rockets vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Raptors and Rockets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Rockets vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 34 away games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 71 games (+15.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 22-24 (-4.4 Units / -8.5% ROI).

  • 17-30 against the Moneyline (-18.95 Units / -26.25% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.52% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Under for game total points (-3.45 Units / -6.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 24-21 (+0.9 Units / 1.74% ROI).

  • 22-25 against the Moneyline (-1.1 Units / -1.57% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.51% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 65 games (-15.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 55 games (-12.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 78 games (-10.85 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 67 games (-24.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 away games (-20.35 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 39 away games (-18.55 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 42 games (-17.75 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were undefeated (9-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Raptors were 12-35 (.255) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Raptors are 1-2 (.333) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Rockets vs. RaptorsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
  • Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors): Quadriceps, Game Time Decision
  • Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Out
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (2,314 points/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.5 fast break points per game (1,094 points/129 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,228 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,724 rebounds/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.