Raptors vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 7

  • The Thunder are -19.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on SNET | FDOK

The Toronto Raptors visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-105).

The Raptors vs Thunder Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 29-20 against the spread, while the Thunder are 30-17 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+19.5 -115O 230.5 -115+1300
Oklahoma City Thunder -19.5 -105U 230.5 -105-3000

Thunder vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Thunder.

Thunder vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.3% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (+14.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+13.01 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+12.25 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+11.88 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 90 games (+18.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 64 games (+16.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 66 games (+14.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 29-20 (+7 Units / 12.47% ROI).

  • 16-35 against the Moneyline (-5.65 Units / -10.47% ROI)
  • 26-25 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -2.67% ROI)
  • 25-26 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -6.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 30-17 (+11.3 Units / 20.55% ROI).

  • 40-10 against the Moneyline (+11 Units / 4.31% ROI)
  • 27-22 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 5.09% ROI)
  • 22-27 against the Under for game total points (-7.7 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 47 games at home (-15.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 66 games (-15.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (-15.05 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-15.03 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 46 games (-14.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 37 away games (-16.41 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 61 games (-16.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 43 games (-15.28 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 74 games (-12.60 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 36 away games (-11.35 Units / -27% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Raptors are 12-55 (.179) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Raptors are winless (0-14) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .246

The Raptors are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .383

The Raptors are 7-17 (.292) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game this season — 2nd-lowest in the NBA.

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Thunder are 19-3 (.864) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Thunder are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Thunder are 39-9 (.812) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Thunder are 16-1 (.941) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors shot 33% from three (435/1,318) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Raptors are shooting 33% from three (1,018/3,044) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (590 turnovers/49 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,512 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,598 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,743 rebounds/51 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Raptors have allowed an average of 1.33 points per shot (5,959 points/4,493 shots) this season — 3rd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.1 steals per game (546 steals/49 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,240 steals/131 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (289/905) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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