Rockets vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 4:33 PM
  • The Hawks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Hawks Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 26-23 against the spread, while the Hawks are 16-36 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+6.5 -110O 240.5 -110+200
Atlanta Hawks -6.5 -110U 240.5 -110-250

Hawks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Hawks.

Hawks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+15.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+15.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 26-23 (+0.75 Units / 1.34% ROI).

  • 23-28 against the Moneyline (-3.1 Units / -4.14% ROI)
  • 24-26 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -8.2% ROI)
  • 26-24 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.71% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 16-36 (-23.55 Units / -41.24% ROI).

  • 23-29 against the Moneyline (-12 Units / -14.41% ROI)
  • 29-22 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 8.39% ROI)
  • 22-29 against the Under for game total points (-9.9 Units / -17.31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 84 games (-31.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 46 games (-23.05 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 67 games (-22.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 37 away games (-21.90 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 74 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 38 away games (-18.45 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-17.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-14.00 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets are 5-46 (.098) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .328

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 6-20 (.231) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 53.7 rebounds/game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Hawks were 18-27 (.400) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .085

Injury Report: Hawks vs. RocketsSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 10

  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Dejounte Murray (Atlanta Hawks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Vit Krejci (Atlanta Hawks): Shoulder, Out
  • Bruno Fernando (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • De’Andre Hunter (Atlanta Hawks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,049 assists/ 1,060 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks have averaged 121.7 points per game (6,326 points/52 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Hawks have 24.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.8

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed 18.0 fast break points per game (467 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,760 rebounds/52 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have averaged 7.7 steals per game (401 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.