Rockets vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Hornets Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 21-20 against the spread, while the Hornets are 16-26 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-5.5 -110O 223.5 -110-210
Charlotte Hornets +5.5 -110U 223.5 -110+170

Hornets vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Rockets and Hornets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hornets vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 away games (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 37 games at home (+18.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 66 games (+16.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 21-20 (-1 Units / -2.11% ROI).

  • 20-23 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -1.46% ROI)
  • 20-22 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -8.88% ROI)
  • 22-20 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 16-26 (-12.55 Units / -27.22% ROI).

  • 10-32 against the Moneyline (-4.1 Units / -9.2% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 48 games (-25.35 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 72 games (-23.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 75 games (-22.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 32 away games (-18.90 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-18.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 34 away games (-16.45 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 61 games (-15.40 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets are winless (0-12) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .362

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Hornets are 17-28 (.378) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Hornets are 5-21 (.192) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 53.4 rebounds/game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Hornets were 12-26 (.316) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Hornets vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Cody Martin (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Out
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Frank Ntilikina (Charlotte Hornets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jeff Green (Houston Rockets): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jock Landale (Houston Rockets): Illness, Game Time Decision

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets are shooting 44% from three (90/204) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hornets have averaged 1.22 points per shot (13,665 points/11,157 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hornets are shooting 46% (5,103/11,157) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have allowed 10.0 fast break points per game (431 points/43 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 43% from three (351/807) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,379 rebounds/42 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have averaged 6.6 steals per game (276 steals/42 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hornets blocked 425 shots last season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams


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