Rockets vs Nets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 27

  • The Nets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on YES | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Brooklyn, NY.

The Nets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Nets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 22-20 against the spread, while the Nets are 21-22 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Nets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+4.5 -115O 221.5 -110+145
Brooklyn Nets -4.5 -105U 221.5 -110-175

Nets vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nets will win Saturday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Rockets and Nets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Nets vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 away games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+17.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+8.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 22-20 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-23 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.61% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 21-22 (-3.1 Units / -6.42% ROI).

  • 17-27 against the Moneyline (-13.4 Units / -20.41% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.6% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Under for game total points (-1.05 Units / -2.17% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-21.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 62 games (-19.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-15.75 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 23 games (-14.70 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-20.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 33 away games (-17.90 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-16.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 away games (-15.45 Units / -38% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets are winless (0-12) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .362

Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Nets are 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .362

The Nets are 7-14 (.333) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Nets are 5-13 (.278) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 12.7 turnovers per game this season — T-6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nets are 5-11 (.312) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

Injury Report: Nets vs. RocketsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 27

  • Ben Simmons (Brooklyn Nets): Back, Out
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Brooklyn Nets): Hamstring, Out
  • Jeff Green (Houston Rockets): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jock Landale (Houston Rockets): Illness, Game Time Decision

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (3,604 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Nets averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,058 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Nets averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Nets averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,610 rebounds/44 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets averaged 6.2 blocks per game (506 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets allowed a TS% of 48% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Nets have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (375 blocks/63 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nets allowed 18.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,516 rebounds/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.3


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.