Rockets vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 29, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Suns are -8.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Suns Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 28-28 against the spread, while the Suns are 24-32 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+8.5 -110O 231.5 -110+280
Phoenix Suns -8.5 -110U 231.5 -110-350

Suns vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 82.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Suns.

Suns vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 87 games (+26.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 46 games at home (+23.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 89 games (+20.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 88 games (+17.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 28-28 (-2.75 Units / -4.31% ROI).

  • 25-33 against the Moneyline (-6.15 Units / -7.47% ROI)
  • 26-30 against the Over for game total points (-7 Units / -10.97% ROI)
  • 30-26 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 24-32 (-11.4 Units / -17.78% ROI).

  • 34-24 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -3.31% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Over for game total points (-7.1 Units / -11.13% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 85 games (-36.30 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 87 games (-35.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 85 games (-33.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-20.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 36 away games (-18.75 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 37 away games (-17.80 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 66 games (-13.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 36 away games (-13.65 Units / -34% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Suns have shot 38% from three this season — T-7th-best in the NBA.

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Suns are 11-6 (.647) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Suns are 42-21 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Suns are 11-5 (.688) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

Injury Report: Suns vs. RocketsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 29

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (301 points/53 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns are shooting 50% (2,268/4,545) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Suns have averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (401 turnovers/53 games) in the second half this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Suns have averaged 1.38 points per shot (3,215 points/2,336 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.