Rockets vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Houston Rockets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Thunder Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 28-27 against the spread, while the Thunder are 36-20 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+9.5 -105O 234.5 -110+375
Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 -115U 234.5 -110-500

Thunder vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 86.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Thunder.

Thunder vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 away games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games at home (+18.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.40 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 28-27 (-1.65 Units / -2.63% ROI).

  • 25-32 against the Moneyline (-5.15 Units / -6.33% ROI)
  • 26-29 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -9.41% ROI)
  • 29-26 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 36-20 (+13.95 Units / 22.25% ROI).

  • 40-17 against the Moneyline (+14.75 Units / 9.53% ROI)
  • 31-22 against the Over for game total points (+6.8 Units / 10.83% ROI)
  • 22-31 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -19.17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.45 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-17.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-15.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-13.75 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 36 away games (-19.65 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 35 away games (-17.75 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-14.65 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 79 games (-13.55 Units / -15% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Rockets are winless (0-13) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Rockets are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 40% from three this season — best in the NBA.

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Thunder are 1-3 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Thunder are 10-4 (.714) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Thunder are 4-9 (.308) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

Injury Report: Thunder vs. RocketsTuesday‘s Game, Feb. 27

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have allowed 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,276 rebounds/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/135 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.