- The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Houston Rockets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The Rockets vs Thunder Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 28-27 against the spread, while the Thunder are 36-20 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Houston Rockets | +9.5 -105 | O 234.5 -110 | +375 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -9.5 -115 | U 234.5 -110 | -500 |
Thunder vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 86.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 away games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games at home (+18.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 28-27 (-1.65 Units / -2.63% ROI).
- 25-32 against the Moneyline (-5.15 Units / -6.33% ROI)
- 26-29 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -9.41% ROI)
- 29-26 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.64% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 36-20 (+13.95 Units / 22.25% ROI).
- 40-17 against the Moneyline (+14.75 Units / 9.53% ROI)
- 31-22 against the Over for game total points (+6.8 Units / 10.83% ROI)
- 22-31 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -19.17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.45 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.60 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-17.25 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-15.30 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-13.75 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 36 away games (-19.65 Units / -50% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 35 away games (-17.75 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-14.65 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 79 games (-13.55 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Rockets are winless (0-13) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369
The Rockets are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 40% from three this season — best in the NBA.
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Thunder are 1-3 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394
The Thunder are 10-4 (.714) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Thunder are 4-9 (.308) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
The Thunder are winless (0-5) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Rockets – Tuesday‘s Game, Feb. 27
- Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
- Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
- Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3
The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0
The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Thunder have allowed 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,276 rebounds/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4
The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/135 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0
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