Rockets vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | RTNW

The Houston Rockets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 32-28 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 29-32 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-5.5 -115O 218.5 -110-225
Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 -105U 218.5 -110+185

Trail Blazers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 48 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 32-28 (+1.25 Units / 1.83% ROI).

  • 27-35 against the Moneyline (-3.8 Units / -4.32% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -13.64% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 4.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 29-32 (-6.05 Units / -9.04% ROI).

  • 17-44 against the Moneyline (-4.75 Units / -7.28% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -9.23% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Under for game total points (+0.15 Units / 0.22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-20.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 62 games (-20.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 51 games (-17.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 38 games at home (-17.15 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-22.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 38 away games (-16.40 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 38 away games (-15.95 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-15.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 38 away games (-13.75 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 16-35 (.314) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Trail Blazers are 7-9 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Trail Blazers were 4-15 (.211) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Trail Blazers are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 8

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (633 assists/ 433 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (984/2,254) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (59/223) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.