- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on NBAt | SCHN | NSBA
The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 42-36 against the spread, while the Warriors are 40-35 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | O | ||
| Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Warriors.
Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 59.1% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 away games (+18.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+15.17 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.88 Units / 14% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+7.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 42-36 (+2.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).
- 51-27 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -0.96% ROI)
- 41-36 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 1.63% ROI)
- 36-41 against the Under for game total points (-9 Units / -10.5% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 40-35 (+1.4 Units / 1.65% ROI).
- 46-31 against the Moneyline (-7.5 Units / -3.61% ROI)
- 39-38 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.31% ROI)
- 38-39 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.79% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (-37.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 78 games (-22.75 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 61 games (-22.55 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.42 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 60 games (-18.00 Units / -26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.25 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.05 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.30 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 66 games (-15.95 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-14.78 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .241
The Rockets are 13-1 (.929) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .750
The Rockets are 9-28 (.243) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 35-16 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are 21-5 (.808) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Warriors are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819
The Warriors were 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Warriors are 34-27 (.557) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have averaged 22.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,774 rebounds/78 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have averaged 20.3 offensive rebounds per game (3,241 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.6
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Warriors are shooting 43% (409/952) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors averaged 28.9 assists per game (1,186 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,833 rebounds/78 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,807 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Rockets stole the ball 639 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.2 steals per game (711 steals/77 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,734 rebounds/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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