- The Rockets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | SCHN | NSBA
The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 15-7 against the spread, while the Warriors are 12-8 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | -4.5 -110 | O 218.5 -105 | -190 |
| Golden State Warriors | +4.5 -110 | U 218.5 -115 | +155 |
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 78.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Warriors.
Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+20.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.93 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 71 games (+13.03 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 77 games (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 15-7 (+7.3 Units / 30.17% ROI).
- 15-7 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.1% ROI)
- 11-10 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 10-11 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 12-8 (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- 12-8 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -10.16% ROI)
- 10-10 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 10-10 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games at home (-25.90 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.15 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 81 games (-15.70 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 60 games (-15.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-14.55 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-16.65 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 33 away games (-16.60 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-16.20 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-14.97 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 42 away games (-14.85 Units / -31% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are 2-22 (.083) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350
The Rockets are 2-39 (.049) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169
The Rockets are 3-23 (.115) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-best in the NBA.
The Rockets are 5-52 (.088) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are undefeated (6-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
The Warriors are 4-1 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .521
The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 45% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 22.4 offensive rebounds per game (493 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Rockets have averaged 1.09 points per shot (331 points/303 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Rockets are shooting 40% (121/303) in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (307/437) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Warriors are shooting 40% (103/258) in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (1,807 free throw attempts/8,253 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 50% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 45% in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50%
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Rockets have blocked 123 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 38.4 defensive rebounds per game (769 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,787 rebounds/102 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.2 steals per game (184 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
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