- The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | NSBA | SCHN
The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 46-41 against the spread, while the Warriors are 44-42 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | +5.5 -115 | O 207.5 -110 | +180 |
| Golden State Warriors | -5.5 -105 | U 207.5 -110 | -220 |
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Warriors.
Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 31 games (+20.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 86 games (+15.92 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 away games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 86 games (+13.33 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+14.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 46-41 (+0.9 Units / 0.94% ROI).
- 54-33 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -2.01% ROI)
- 46-40 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.09% ROI)
- 40-46 against the Under for game total points (-10.5 Units / -10.98% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 44-42 (-2.3 Units / -2.37% ROI).
- 52-36 against the Moneyline (-22.2 Units / -8.9% ROI)
- 44-44 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 44-44 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 78 games (-49.60 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 73 games (-30.45 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-21.95 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-20.55 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-19.65 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.40 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-23.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 54 games (-17.90 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 72 games (-16.63 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.83 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are 10-30 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Rockets are 50-30 (.625) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495
The Rockets are 39-21 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are 24-1 (.960) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818
The Warriors are 23-9 (.719) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .615
The Warriors are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Warriors are 33-15 (.688) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors are shooting 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors averaged 6.2 fast break points per game (506 points/82 games) in the first half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,024 points/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,931 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (689 steals/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have 689 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have 771 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,906 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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