Spurs vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 25

  • The Jazz are -6.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Jazz Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 27-30 against the spread, while the Jazz are 31-26 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+6.5 -105O 240.5 -115+220
Utah Jazz -6.5 -115U 240.5 -105-275

Jazz vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Sunday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Jazz.

Jazz vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (+17.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+16.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 70 games (+15.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+14.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 4Q Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 27-30 (-5.9 Units / -9.42% ROI).

  • 11-46 against the Moneyline (-26.5 Units / -44.2% ROI)
  • 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.75 Units / -2.79% ROI)
  • 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 31-26 (+2.3 Units / 3.67% ROI).

  • 26-31 against the Moneyline (-0.4 Units / -0.53% ROI)
  • 32-24 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 8.92% ROI)
  • 24-32 against the Under for game total points (-11.1 Units / -17.73% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-25.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 78 games (-24.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 76 games (-23.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 78 games (-20.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 52 games (-31.80 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 69 games (-19.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 59 games (-18.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 51 games (-17.65 Units / -33% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Jazz are 16-19 (.457) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Jazz were 13-20 (.394) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Injury Report: Jazz vs. SpursSunday‘s Game, Feb. 25

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs are shooting 34% from three (670/1,965) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (317/982) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (423 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (857 turnovers/54 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.8 second chance points per game (474 points/54 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (802 assists/ 482 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.