Spurs vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Kings are -9.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | NSCA

The San Antonio Spurs visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Kings Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 25-30 against the spread, while the Kings are 28-25 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+10.5 -110O 242.5 -110+375
Sacramento Kings -10.5 -110U 242.5 -110-500

Kings vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 84.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Kings.

Kings vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+13.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 77 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 25-30 (-7.9 Units / -13.08% ROI).

  • 11-44 against the Moneyline (-24.5 Units / -42.28% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.75 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 28-25 (+0.35 Units / 0.59% ROI).

  • 31-23 against the Moneyline (-17.3 Units / -14.7% ROI)
  • 27-25 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.84% ROI)
  • 25-27 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -7.91% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 73 games (-36.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 games (-19.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 73 games (-16.15 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-15.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 50 games (-29.80 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 67 games (-18.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-17.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 57 games (-16.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-16.30 Units / -19% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs were 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Spurs are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are 24-4 (.857) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Kings are 8-2 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Kings vs. SpursThursday‘s Game, Feb. 22

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan Ford (Sacramento Kings): Neck, Game Time Decision
  • Trey Lyles (Sacramento Kings): Illness, Out
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have a 23% free throw rate (2,830 free throw attempts/12,506 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (827/1,132) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings have made 15.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed 123.1 points per game (10,092 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (478 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (360/858) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (203 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.